2009 SME outlook

Print E-mail
Management
Written by Gary Howes   
Monday, 05 January 2009

Opinions were mixed when businesses were questioned on how they believed 2009 would pan out.  

Just under a third (32%) are fairly gloomy about prospects for the new year believing they will struggle to cope, but another third (33%) are much more positive predicting that after a hard start to the year, things will pick up.

One in five (20%) of the businesses surveyed in the poll are optimistic about the year ahead.
 
A quarter of businesses surveyed (25%) said that their credit facilities had already been affected through the economic downturn.  A fifth (20%) said that credit lines had not yet been impacted, but expect this to change in 2009. Yet over a third (36%) said that credit facilities have not been hit and don’t expect any change in 2009.

Paul Tollet, Vice President Business, Orange UK said:

“I believe that 2009 is going to be a tough year for British businesses. Yet the results from the latest Orange SMS Business Jury show that some businesses have a more upbeat outlook for the year ahead. It is encouraging that over half the respondents of the survey (53%) are optimistic for 2009 or believe that things will pick up throughout the year. We must ensure we do what we can to drive this optimism into action and get British business back on its feet.”

Rate cuts and VAT

Nearly two thirds of businesses (60%) said that the VAT cut in the Chancellor’s Pre-Budget Report had made no difference to their business. Only a fifth (22%) said that the cut in VAT had helped their business and one in ten (11%) said that it had in fact been a hindrance.

Over a half of businesses surveyed (54%) said that the cut in interest rates had also made no difference to their business. A third (33%) we’re more positive, saying that the rate cuts have helped their business.

Staff

Nearly one in two (43%) owners and managers of businesses in Britain expect to make staff cuts in 2009. Just under a third (28%) said they don’t expect to make cuts and one in ten (9%) will be looking to use more flexible working practices to combat the recession. 

 

Share this: Digg It! digg   Post to del.icio.us del.ico.us   Seed in Newsvine Newsvine   Post to reddit Reddit   Post to Furl Furl   Post to Technorati technorati   Facebook
Comments (3)Add Comment
2009 is a year to manage businesses prudently and sow the seeds for the future
Posted by Rose Lewis, 05 January 2009
Companies are certainly set for choppy year ahead, but we've all been there before and worked through it. 2009 is a year to manage businesses prudently and sow the seeds for the future. Everyone can manage a business in boom times. Consumers consume, suppliers grow, and people make experimental purchases that are surplus to requirement, but may work.
We are now entering a time where consumers will conserve, suppliers will retrench, and there will be less money in the economy for experimental purchases. So how can we thrive?
This is the era for good management. We need to operate in markets where one can see the future, maybe not a lot into the future but a bit, and we will need to take proactive actions to prepare for what will be coming our way. Do not be fooled into thinking this is easy, but if you are married to your market it is not only possible but probable that you could significantly outperform your competitors and thrive in a time when others are suffering.
So get closer your market, take soundings to read the future and believe in your intuition. We are all in a supply chain of some form and can read the signs coming down the chain from the end consumer. It's just a matter of interpreting the signs and taking actions ahead of the market.
Manage your business well, act in a timely and effective manner and you will thrive when the turnaround comes, as it surely will.
Best wishes for the New Year!
Yours sincerely,
Rose Lewis, Pembridge Partners LLP, London



It's not all doom and gloom though...
Posted by Karen Purves, 20 January 2009
While access to money is still an issue, there are huge opportunities for SMEs to come into their own at this time.

SMEs are ideally placed to build market share not by directly competing with other companies but seeking those plump veins that have been left by the larger company as part of their retrenchment exercise. What is only marginal for a large company can be a rich and rewarding opportunity for the SME.

It does take some research, having the ear to the ground to know where they are. And, it is those companies that capitalise of these windfalls that will not just survive the down turn but thrive.

Don't forget, there are more fortunes made in a recession than in times of plenty!
Do we fully apprecite the difficulty ahead?
Posted by Seb Robin, 01 February 2009
Hi,
Whilst your survey shows interesting results, are we really surprised by them? I have read a number of other surveys that show similar findings and the lessons that I draw from them is two-fold:

First, there is an undeniable fighting spirit in the SME community. SME have it tough all the time, recession or no recession, Every day is a fight for positive cash flow. SME will not let themselves down and they'll fight with what they've got.

Second, we keep receiving mixed messages. Governments in the UK and globally speak of confidence in making it through; yet other experts speak in different terms. Since this article was published, comments from politicians have not been so confident or optimistic any more. Is it a sign that we have underestimated what lies ahead?

The truth is that 2009 will be a tough year because the full impact of the Recession is yet to hit us. When it does, will we be sufficiently prepared? My view is that we never prepare well enough. We always wait for a disaster to happen before we even consider protecting ourselves. There are hundreds of examples across every industries. Now this time is different. These are the financial markets that suffer and as a result everybody will suffer beyond any level that we dare speak of. SME do not need paper money. They need hard cash. They need help to keep their cash flow positive more than ever and I am not convinced, as always, that SMEs will get that help. Even though they represent 99% of the UK's enterprises.

What is solution?
- SMEs need access to far better market intelligence than is available to them currently. I understand that commercial firms charge for this information, but how many SMEs do actually pay for these reports and research? What are the Chambers of Commerce, FSB, Business Links and other bodies which mission is to support businesses doing in that area?
- SMEs need help to buy cheaper and receive better service. Many SME considers productivity software, management consultancy and other similar services as being irrelevant to their business. They consider themselves too small for this type of exercise. They do not have the liquidities to pay for them. Therefore they are on their own. And here I am talking about 3.4m sole traders and sole proprietor companies and a further 1m who employ up to 9 staff. 4.4m businesses out of the 4.7m enterprises in the UK, that represent a large economy left to making it on their own.

I do not believe that these SMEs get the help they ought to receive. The only help available serves a political agenda (e.g. become greener, trade with China) and Government must take SMEs more seriously than they have. Their policy making continually fails to meet the simple requirements of SMEs on the ground.

Thanks
Seb

Post a comment
quote
bold
italicize
underline
strike
url
image
quote
quote
By posting on this website you are agreeing to abide by our website comment policy and all posts are subject to the approval of the website editor. We will remove posts that contain offensive or threatening language, personal attacks on the writer or other posters, posts that are off topic and posts that are considered spam or specifically used to promote any commercial products or services. Any poster who repeatedly contravenes the policy will be banned from posting on the website.

busy
 

Economy